Two CFB Week 3 Lines to Watch
Maryland -7 @ Temple
Maryland is coming off of an impressive win against Syracuse where they blew the doors of the Orange defense and were able to cover the -1 spread easily with a 43 point victory. Temple coming off a bye week after a week 1 throttling of Bucknell.
This line opened up at Maryland -6 and quickly jumped to -7. This is a line to keep tabs on, because we have a small sample size of Temple, Maryland has yet to go on the road and Temple is coming off a bye. Temple's offense shined against their FCS opponent week one, but other than that we don't have anything to gauge the Owls on. My analysis tells me this line should be closer to -3.5 or -4 and if we see that movement down under a TD, Maryland may be a good play.
However, we know how the public can fall in love with a team and with little known about Temple, Maryland could be stealing the hearts of the public and we could see this line continue to inflate. If we see this continue to climb, it may be time to fade the Terrapins.
USC -4.5 @ BYU
USC is coming off an impressive 25 point win over Stanford and the offense seems to have found a secret weapon in Kedon Slovis who is 34 of 41 (82.9%) for 434 and 3 TDs this season, the majority of those stats coming against the Cardinal. BYU had to come from behind and win in 2OT as the road dog in Knoxville. BYU was outgained and held the ball for 8 minutes less than Tennessee and still managed to come out on top.
BYU gave up a TD on the first drive and then managed to keep the Vols out of the endzone until overtime. They will be at home this week, but will be facing a better offense than what Tennessee had to offer. The question is can this bend don't break defense hold up against a talented Trojans team? Before we get to high on BYU, remember they lost by 18 to Utah week one after being outscored 21-6 in the second half at home.
USC is 2-0, 1-1 ATS, and I expect them to continue to show the country they are the real deal with Slovis running the show. USC didn't cover against Fresno State, but were up 18 going into the fourth and the Bulldogs scored 10 to get within the 8.5 spread. Slovis has only played one full game and that is why I believe this game isn't -7.5 and if USC was at home -10. USC hasn't played a road game, but I think they are multiple TDs better than BYU and it won't matter. USC -4.5 is great value, may see this creep up to -6 or more. I will continue to evaluate this game, but USC by a TD or more seems reasonable to expect.